President Bola Tinubu‘s reforms are sparking the biggest bond rally in emerging markets as the West African nation’s two-digit carry yields are backed by increasing government revenue, slowing inflation and a stable currency.
Naira-denominated bonds of Africa’s largest crude producer have extended their 2025 rally with an 8.6% total return in July, the best performance among the 23 countries in the Bloomberg EM Local Currency Government Universal Index both for the month and the year.
Since coming to power in May 2023, Tinubu has eliminated fuel subsidies weighing on the government’s budget. He followed it up with a tax overhaul, while the central bank has allowed the naira to trade more freely. The measures have helped to reduce the fiscal deficit, boost reserves and keep the current account in surplus. And investors are just beginning to back the reforms, after staying on the sidelines for most of 2024.